Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.

Jan 17, 2021
5 742 916 Views

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There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of USworlds centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
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#Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
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Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
Assistant Editor: AlyssaBeCrazy
Sound Editor: Yosi Berman

  • F-

    Johnwel EncisoJohnwel Enciso9 minutes ago
  • 3:26 Very Common Meme

    Kataklysymuka GanimosikaKataklysymuka GanimosikaHour ago
  • Matpat’s IQ to me : 219

    Kataklysymuka GanimosikaKataklysymuka GanimosikaHour ago
  • 60/100

    Jumpy AnimationsJumpy AnimationsHour ago
  • matpat new minecraft theory suggestion: soul sand because i think it's the key on the other theories or the missing piece on the lore

    John David San luisJohn David San luis2 hours ago
  • All of these people complaining about how he didn’t actually give an answer obviously didn’t pay attention. He made it very clear that there is no way to actually clear cut say he did or didn’t cheat. It’s like a crime investigation. You can present a lot of evidence, but that doesn’t guarantee that they actually did or didn’t do it. There will always be probable loop holes and ideas that challenge your evidence. There is always a possibility that you are wrong. He didn’t want to give us an answer that could be wrong because no one can say that there is no way he didn’t cheat, but they can’t say he did.

    Sorceress FireSorceress Fire6 hours ago
  • Mmm dream thint cheat cause that has happend Abit of times it happend yo me

    the gamer yepezthe gamer yepez6 hours ago
  • plot twist : Dream friend with Technoblade and piglin give more drop rate.

    AA7 hours ago
  • I don't know what to say...

    Milk StrawMilk Straw8 hours ago
  • 7 out of 10

    Kayson McLeodKayson McLeod8 hours ago
  • And there's film watching to because of film theory

    Kayson McLeodKayson McLeod8 hours ago
  • So why is there so much Austin lately

    Kayson McLeodKayson McLeod8 hours ago
  • i think we can all agree that dream suckts

    KnightKnight9 hours ago
    • Yikes, that shows how intelligent you are.

      FrenchyboyFrenchyboy9 hours ago
  • Role with the punchhs

    Chaos CasseroleChaos Casserole10 hours ago
  • MatPat didn’t give an answer but as a dream stan I can say the answer is yes, he did. There’s no way he seriously got THAT lucky. Dream is trying to BS his way out of it which is fine, but everything points to him cheating.

    Polite Gordon RamsayPolite Gordon Ramsay11 hours ago
  • Old MatPat isn't cringey MatPat, Old MatPat is classic MatPat 😎

    Trevor TMTrevor TM11 hours ago
  • What software is your video created in? Adobe After Effects?

    ImperialImperial12 hours ago
  • I just wanna know how many runs happen in between those 6 play through some. Like out of all the runs he had in between those 6 had that luck. I can believe that?

    Marvin AndersonMarvin Anderson16 hours ago
  • Your roooooooouuuuuuuuuuuud 😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠

    Penny TPenny T16 hours ago
  • 10:13 Yay Freddy Plushie!

    Brendan JohnsonBrendan Johnson17 hours ago

    Muffin HeadMuffin Head17 hours ago
  • 7

    Gamers UniteGamers Unite17 hours ago
  • I know dream lied cuz there is a person that is playing for him he said

    Adam NaserAdam Naser17 hours ago
  • Hello! I just wanted to say that there is a theory about the game Genshin impact and the two twins. Someone says that one of the twins had been taken 500 years in the future while the other one stayed at the same timeline when they got separated. We don’t know much and I’d really like to see you make a theory vid about it!

    X Black XX Black X18 hours ago
  • Hey, I watched this and when you brought up the divorce rates in Maine I was shocked because I live in there.

    HeyIt’sAustinHeyIt’sAustin19 hours ago
  • If you put a immortal monkey in front of a keyboard they will eventually beat the Minecraft speed run world record

    Iwan EvansIwan Evans19 hours ago
  • This is a joke.

    Katherine DaviesKatherine Davies19 hours ago
  • I only had three teachers that were really helpful and made it easy to learn Ms,King Mrs,Ivorye and Mrs,Staples. Writing, Math, and Social Studies(History) these are my best subjects, even though I hate with a passion writing, and love science. But is was amazing to have those three to help me.

    ArmandoArmando19 hours ago
  • 0:12 Is anyone going to talk about mrbeast in the background lol

    kid rapperkid rapper20 hours ago
  • 60 0ut of 100

    logan graulogan grau20 hours ago
  • I bet you most of the dislikes were dream stans that were angry about matpat questioning their king dream ( no hate on dream or matpat)

    my precious depreciousmy precious deprecious21 hour ago
  • I have a headache now

    R.A.C Corp StudiosR.A.C Corp Studios22 hours ago
  • dream is acctually a monster in the dream smp he is in a prison i still sub to dream

    IF HDIF HD23 hours ago
  • Mr Beast walking in the background with a full cart in the background was something I didn't know I needed 🤣🤣🤣

    Zi Xuan YeohZi Xuan Yeoh23 hours ago
  • If you guys watch the vid it says the run revolves around luck I highly doubt he cheated but hey who will belive me.

    Gage GamingGage GamingDay ago
  • Dream Did not cheat i also got super lucky on mcpe survival

    April AnnApril AnnDay ago
  • At 17:57 he changes the subject and never finishes the analysis.

    youluvanayouluvanaDay ago
  • How did this video get so many likes? He didn’t even answer the question?

    Kryptic IllusionKryptic IllusionDay ago
  • So, MAtpat avoided the question. But Stand up Maths answered it. And the answer? Yes, Dream cheated. Or minecraft is lying about the odds. Can't remember exactly what his forumla was. But he showed that even if you had every person on Earth, all 8 billion of us, do a run every single second, the entire run finished in it, for 100 years straight, you still wouldn't ever see results like he got.

    kyle gesinkyle gesinDay ago
  • Why do the video if your not going to answer the question?

    Brian BowersBrian BowersDay ago
  • Can we take a moment to appreciate this GOD tier editing? Jesus, this must have taken so many hours to edit

    LJLJDay ago
  • Dream was to sad to comet

    Damp was notDamp was notDay ago
  • So you secretly wanted to be Indian 😂😂

    RRadarRRadarDay ago
  • 7

    Surprised PikachuSurprised PikachuDay ago
  • You Can Just Buy Every SIngle Lottery Ticket And Win.

    JayceBlox ツJayceBlox ツDay ago
  • Bruh I never realized how toxic MatPat’s comments section is.

    HenryHenryDay ago
    • @Lily Hill I understand people take speedrunning very seriously, but I don't blame Matpat for wanting to keep his business relations in tact? What do you think should happen as a result of Dream cheating?

      HenryHenry7 hours ago
    • These people have the right to be angry. MatPat KNOWS Dream cheated. The evidence provided clearly proves this. MatPat just doesn't want to create a rift between himself and Dream for business purposes. It's truly shitty the world we live in.

      Lily HillLily Hill7 hours ago
  • I think he just used a good seed.

    puha201puha201Day ago
  • 1

    Nathaniel FelicianoNathaniel FelicianoDay ago
    • Flip a coin ten times and get 7 heads

      Nathaniel FelicianoNathaniel FelicianoDay ago
  • Normies : So did he cheat? The smart one : hmmm this case seem interesting. If [Insert a lot of math here] then that mean he [cheated/didn't cheat] The other : [Insert weird thing] And then there's me Me : ahh yess good background music

    Tommy WinataTommy WinataDay ago
  • This theory might explain how our universe was created cause like how was the big bam created

    Bakhadur MarupovBakhadur MarupovDay ago
  • I mean who really cares if he cheated if he didnt get the world record or even close to it

    • It's the fact that he blatantly lied to his audience by trying to tell them that he never cheated. Dream is not trustworthy if he's willing to lie over something this small.

      Lily HillLily Hill7 hours ago
  • "did dream cheat?" Matpat: well yes but actually no

    AverageDamianAverageDamianDay ago
    • Well you see the original sub was actually "good guess but actually no" so it means dream did not cheat

      Psalm NaranBaatarPsalm NaranBaatar25 minutes ago
  • I know people are thinking that he did not...but your right he used mods and cheats

    xBløxy GãmerxxBløxy GãmerxDay ago
  • I wanna know that skit MatPat's in at 11:27

    Leslye BeauchampLeslye BeauchampDay ago
  • That guy in the intro looked scared, like OH NO PLEASE NO.

    Deathymoon 1Deathymoon 1Day ago
  • Fun Fact - regression towards the mean is one of the most important elements in determining sample size for clinical testing. This random statistics phenomenon is what determined if covid vaccines were safe enough.

    John ArmstrongJohn ArmstrongDay ago
  • Make a funny video on animal crossing

    Vonvon GonzalesVonvon GonzalesDay ago
  • Thank you all in the comments section for stating what I already figured and saving me 23 minutes and 29 seconds of my life.

    GarouGarouDay ago
  • With the Blazes, what NOONE is talking about is on one of those runs, Dream found a LOOTING 2 sword at a ruined portal. For the n00bs out there, LOOTING 2 increases the odds of a mob dropping loot when killed. This has not been addressed by anyone. The report also compares FIVE of Luminas speedruns with SIX of Dreams. So there already is a inconsistency. Thats like me saying: "Ok matpat, flip this coin 50 times for five days and record how many heads and tails you get." Then I go to Stephanie and give her a coin and say "Ok Steph, flip this coin 50 times for Six days and record how many heads and tails you get." Then on the Monday next week, i'll see Steph had more heads that Mat. Did she use a two headed coin? Did she cheat? No because she had higher odds so had a higher Heads. Same with Dream on his trades. He did more trades and thus got more drops. Come on matpat do your job instead of repeating what everyone has already been saying.

    Azguard Mike 2013Azguard Mike 2013Day ago
  • Wasn't the point of 1.16 to change the game dramatically to make it feel different

    Theater BrattTheater BrattDay ago
  • Ah MatPat, you began an eccentric entertainer at home amongst the Wild West of USworlds, but the years of advertiser scrutiny have pushed you down to little more than a shill who profits off the young. Perhaps your time on this platform is due to expire, and you may not be missed.

    Bush MGBush MGDay ago
  • 100x

    C MC MDay ago
  • 8:35 youtube is broken my button is white :p

    lucktr8lucktr8Day ago
  • wtf that wasent even a theory...... is that just a slogan now adays?

    sebastian bellsebastian bellDay ago
  • Just saying, I am not a dream stan, but I AM good at math. And they released a statement that the chance of getting dream's runs was 10 billion to 1? 100 billion to 1? 1000 billion to 1? Point is, there is a chance of dreams runs to be true. That he didn't need to manipulate rng and that his luck was good. If the statement and said impossible then, well, I am with you, dream cheated. But the statement gave numbers that were near impossible, improbable, because they still had a chance to be true. I think dream hit the luck jackpot and is telling the truth.

    Syed Azfar Ali Jalali ACSG8Syed Azfar Ali Jalali ACSG82 days ago
    • @Lily Hill I quote "nearly impossible" Nearly. *nearly* If there is 1 in a quintillion chance of it happening, then it could.

      Syed Azfar Ali Jalali ACSG8Syed Azfar Ali Jalali ACSG84 hours ago
    • I disagree. The numbers Dream was pulling are nearly impossible. Especially for Minecraft drops. No one could be that lucky. It's just not possible.

      Lily HillLily Hill7 hours ago
  • Hey Matt , Id like to ask , when enderman are people or ancient builders , how did they got to End when ender pearls drop from Enderman? ._.

    Benjamin JakubecBenjamin Jakubec2 days ago
  • Me : explains simple math My family;

    シJusDibzュ ス デ ィ ブ ズシJusDibzュ ス デ ィ ブ ズ2 days ago
  • Well what are the chances of finding a stronghold RANDOMLY ( finding it by chance or without eye of ender ) im guessing very slim yet it happened to me tis luck

    Ella CavanaghElla Cavanagh2 days ago
  • Me: about to beat the speed run by 00000000000.1 seconds

    Flowey The flowerFlowey The flower2 days ago
  • who was the first person to ever make a netherite beacon

    ariel hernandezariel hernandez2 days ago
  • deam is mrbeast

    Nguyen Bui Ha LinhNguyen Bui Ha Linh2 days ago
    • Bruh no

      Ares LothbrokAres LothbrokDay ago
  • He does not

    Dean FawcettDean Fawcett2 days ago
  • 1.16 : so different some people don't accept it 1.17 : *uhhhhh*

    SCP ProductionsSCP Productions2 days ago
  • When does the video start? Over 5min mark haven't started the video yet where is minecraft speedrun. Haven't dissapointed more in any of ur video almost never dissapointed but this one oh yeah wasted my time.

    glitch gamerglitch gamer2 days ago
  • the joker has aids

    ken dowken dow2 days ago
  • gooba gabba

    ken dowken dow2 days ago
  • Mr beast was In the background at the store

    Holly CarrHolly Carr2 days ago
  • 0:14 why does mr beast have so much stuff???

    Michael LangstonMichael Langston2 days ago
  • spoiler alert: dream cheated

    dandaddandad2 days ago

    Martha CimaMartha Cima2 days ago
  • uwu

    Kartoony_KobiYTKartoony_KobiYT2 days ago
  • i dont get it

    Martha CimaMartha Cima2 days ago
  • I Had More Cringe

    Victoria And JosephVictoria And Joseph2 days ago
  • It was fake

    Brandon GeeBrandon Gee2 days ago
  • "Did dream cheat his speedrun?" That only dream fan : *clicks out of video*

    madhvi goyalmadhvi goyal3 days ago
  • Before Reveal: 10 = 7 heads Answer Reveal: IM CORECT!!! :D

    The Aisha BiscuitThe Aisha Biscuit3 days ago
  • We: did dream cheat? MatPat: Well yes, but actually no

    Tiger AroraTiger Arora3 days ago
  • 60

    Tashi YuenTashi Yuen3 days ago
  • I saw someone beat minecraft in 4:24 minutes

    Player 1Player 13 days ago
  • Me: being that one 8 year old kid bad at math but likes game theory lol

    Aafiya arissaAafiya arissa3 days ago
  • Flip 10 and get 7+heads

    GINGY_zamination YtGINGY_zamination Yt3 days ago
  • although there are 10-37 major factors involved, it seems that "the thing that makes minecraft 1.16 speedruns 5 minutes faster than previous versions is the piglin trading, it's basically a slot machine". so if one were to cheat at this game, do you think they would change those rates? and change the rates of "one of the biggest bottlenecks in any minecraft speedrun"?

    Kobe is ChildrenKobe is Children3 days ago
    • and don't you think that Kobe is children? cause he is

      Kobe is ChildrenKobe is Children3 days ago
  • NEW THEORY FOR MINECRAFT What is bedrock made of

    Kenrick John MarquezKenrick John Marquez3 days ago
  • YT theory: Matpat inetially had an awnser, but the awnser was that Dream did cheat. However, since Dream has already collabed on Game Theory, Matpat didn't want to ruin his future chances with Dream's clout (attacking someone on the internet who has more clout then you is a death sentance). But since he didn't want to throw away hours of research, he made a video that never gave a diffinitive awnser.

    SK_WantsToGameEndSK_WantsToGameEnd3 days ago
  • But with the stupid barter,I barted with more than 280 gold,u know how much I got? 5 pearls,5 PEARLS, if u are thinking how I got that much, I had a Mesa near my village

    Pranav J pillaiPranav J pillai3 days ago
  • I have got more than that much blaze rods so does that mean I cheated? No it's just luck And looting 😂

    Pranav J pillaiPranav J pillai3 days ago
    • He doesn't get the drops once and thats it after hours of clips his luck is much higher than anyone

      Benedict MasengiBenedict Masengi2 days ago
  • Stand-up maths did a video that actually answers the question... 🙏🏽

    Mateus FernandesMateus Fernandes3 days ago
  • This is worst then mrbossftw’s video’s

    The man with Panda eyesThe man with Panda eyes3 days ago
  • When he was talking about flipping coins I did not get any of that lol

    Ruby _GemRuby _Gem3 days ago
  • 8:32 my aswer is (a)

    susan alvarengasusan alvarenga3 days ago